Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 5.955790 6.538997 7.181048 7.945352 8.837066 9.852893 11.109790
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.252188 6.081290 7.072120 8.365700 10.044759 12.202967 15.280645
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.743752 5.682743 6.866952 8.514537 10.825874 14.089295 19.335123
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.278508 5.246534 6.514079 8.360487 11.106591 15.282772 22.711615
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.926852 4.905753 6.226961 8.226113 11.351663 16.430125 26.372414
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.624276 4.595046 5.937459 8.032870 11.449397 17.330403 29.906300
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.412089 4.386709 5.765960 7.984866 11.757069 18.647758 34.867128
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.236346 4.213007 5.624305 7.958666 12.086296 20.075445 40.838274
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.133042 4.133751 5.612987 8.136019 12.800647 22.464986 50.908551
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.940471 3.908477 5.357465 7.871914 12.641056 22.927980 55.664776
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.769249 3.704527 5.119902 7.613507 12.451998 23.278229 60.392458
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.641624 3.558883 4.963921 7.481693 12.495115 24.201388 68.148190
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.524261 3.429369 4.835948 7.408510 12.695837 25.722195 80.950228
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.499028 3.442042 4.942893 7.783721 13.949643 30.679286 121.143431
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.431665 3.383067 4.924125 7.917185 14.692830 34.574765 169.437419
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.325097 3.254523 4.776177 7.778838 14.758457 36.312741 208.904976
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.230315 3.139849 4.644142 7.658066 14.846582 38.212671 263.139073
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.134851 3.019187 4.493683 7.484207 14.767881 39.478853 321.601086
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.066015 2.939025 4.409924 7.440986 15.030465 42.322362 447.554558
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.004919 2.868633 4.338979 7.417391 15.344780 45.648369 669.299188
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.973016 2.845479 4.352051 7.577035 16.220478 52.406829 1457.415292
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.890617 2.732836 4.193150 7.339237 15.870805 52.590142 1879.130498
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.813612 2.626654 4.041365 7.106185 15.502814 52.535905 2420.642436